• 论文 •    

动态联盟风险评估的网络分析法及其应用

张捍东, 严钟   

  1. 安徽工业大学电气信息学院, 安徽马鞍山243002
  • 出版日期:2008-01-15 发布日期:2008-01-25

Analytic network process to risk evaluation of dynamic alliance & its application

ZHANG Handong, YAN Zhong   

  1. School of Electrical Engineering & Information, Anhui University of Technology, Maanshan 243002, China
  • Online:2008-01-15 Published:2008-01-25

摘要: 为快速有效地分析企业动态联盟的风险,建立了网络分析法的风险评估模型,并给出相关算法,以及评价指标的选择方法。求出各企业在各子评价指标下的权重和各子评价指标的综合权重,再将二者相乘并求和,得到了每个盟员企业总的风险权重。最后,通过实例证明这种方法的分析结果比风险模糊综合评判法的分析结果更为直观、合理,提供的信息也更加丰富,更有利于决策者对风险做出正确决策。

关键词: 动态联盟, 风险评估, 权重, 网络分析法

Abstract: To analyze the risk of the dynamic alliance rapidly and effectively, the risk evaluation model of Analytic Network Process (ANP) was constructed. Related algorithm was presented, and selection method of evaluation index was also presented. Weights of different subgoals as well as the synthetic weights of sub evaluation standards of all enterprises were calculated, and then these two weights were synthesized and added to get the total amount for the risk weights of all members of the enterprise alliance. Compared to risk fuzzy synthesis method, the analysis results proved to be more direct, reasonable and the included information was more abundant, which contributed greatly to the right decisions on risks by the decisionmakers.

Key words: dynamic alliance, risk evaluation, weight, analytic network process

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