关键词: 柔性产能, 季节性产品, 生产决策

Abstract: To obtain the production strategy of seasonal products in the product life cycle,by considering the characters of seasonal products in the production and sale,a multi-variate nonlinear model was proposed in the manufacturing-sale system based on the fixed demand transfer and growth.By model analysis and simplified conditions,the two-variable nonlinear cycle model was obtained for production decision under two kinds of product conditions,and the optimal solution was confirmed through the numerical simulation.The results showed that the optimal cost could be obtained with periodic capacity adjustment strategy under the certain conditions of transfer and growth of demand|the demand quantity of seasonal products at the initial time of the product life cycle was the main factor to determine the production strategy.

Key words: flexible capacity, seasonal products, production decision