• 论文 •    

基于贝叶斯网的制造工艺质量建模方法

董晔弘,向东,龙旦风,刘畅,段广洪   

  1. 清华大学 精密仪器与机械学系制造工程研究所,北京100084
  • 出版日期:2010-12-15 发布日期:2010-12-25

Modeling method of manufacturing process quality based on Bayesian networks

DONG Ye-hong, XIANG Dong, LONG Dan-feng, LIU Chang, DUAN Guang-hong   

  1. Institute of Manufacturing Engineering, Department of Precision Instrument & Mechanism, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Online:2010-12-15 Published:2010-12-25

摘要: 针对多品种小批量制造模式下,工艺质量建模面临的模型维度高、数据稀疏的问题,提出了基于贝叶斯网的工艺质量建模方法。该方法以工艺机理知识为基础构建贝叶斯网结构,在构建时采用删除法保证结构的完备性与简洁性。设计实验获得均衡分布的实验数据,并通过实验数据的学习获得条件概率表。在应用中,模型利用生产线的数据更新条件概率表,来体现生产过程中不确定性因素的影响。以印刷线路板微小孔钻孔工艺为例进行了建模方法的应用与对比,结果验证了该方法对多品种小批量制造工艺的质量建模具有适用性,并且能够获得更高的模型精度。

关键词: 贝叶斯网, 工艺质量建模, 多品种小批量, 机理知识, 机器学习, 印刷线路板

Abstract: To solve the problem of high-dimension and sparse data faced by process quality modeling in multi-type & small-batch manufacturing mode, a modeling method based on Bayesian Network (BN) was proposed. The BN structure was constructed on the basis of manufacturing process mechanism knowledge and elimination method was used to ensure integrity and simplicity of the model structure. Then a set of balanced data was achieved from experiments organized by Design of Experiment (DOE), and Conditional Probability Table (CPT) of BN-model was obtained by machine learning with this data set. The CPT was updated in application with the data obtained from production line to model the effect of uncertain factors during process. This modeling method was testified in Printed Circuit Board (PCB) micro-hole drilling process and compared to other methods. The result verified that this modeling method was applicable in multi-type & small-batch manufacturing mode with higher modeling precision.

Key words: Bayesian networks, process quality modeling, multi-type & small-batch, mechanics knowledge, machine learning, printed circuit board

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