关键词: 项目管理, 多关键路径, 进度监视, 模具项目

Abstract: To improve the project scheduling efficiency of mould manufacturing with uncertainties, the characteristics of mould project was analyzed, and a stochastic project process monitoring model with multi-critical paths was proposed. The project task state distribution and the state transfer rules were considered in the model. The critical path was determined by the comparison of longest period cost among the parallel craft paths. The mathematics distribution of project finish time was calculated by the evolution of system states. To reduce the calculation amount, a method was used to reduce the system states space by eliminating the task states with low probability. Based on this model, a project management system was developed to evolve an example, and the evolvement result proved the models feasibility.

Key words: project management, multi-critical paths, process monitoring, mould project