计算机集成制造系统 ›› 2021, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (9): 2741-2748.DOI: 10.13196/j.cims.2021.09.027

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基于多元特征感知网络的高考成绩预测

田钰   

  1. 合肥市教育局教育科学研究院
  • 出版日期:2021-09-30 发布日期:2021-09-30

Prediction of college entrance examination results based on multi-feature perception network

  • Online:2021-09-30 Published:2021-09-30

摘要: 高考成绩是当今教育部门关注的焦点,科学的成绩分析可以帮助在校师生合理安排和调整学习计划,从而提高考生成绩。传统方法利用统计学和数据挖掘的知识来发现成绩间的隐含联系,然而面对多元化非线性数据时,方法的精确度会受到限制。因此,通过将考生的短期特征与长期特征相结合,充分挖掘影响高考成绩的关键因素,提出一种新颖的多元特征感知的神经网络模型(MFNN)实现高考成绩预测。为验证MFNN的有效性,在合肥市教育局提供的真实数据集上进行实验。该数据集包括10 138名理工类考生以及4 874名文史类考生2015年3次高中质量检测成绩以及高考成绩。实验结果表明,所提方法优于其他对比方法。

关键词: 高考成绩预测, 数据挖掘, 神经网络, 多元特征

Abstract: College entrance examination grades are the focus that attracted the attention of major education departments today,scientific grade analysis can help teachers and students in the school to arrange and adjust the study plans reasonably to improve the grades of candidates.Traditional methods use the knowledge of statistics and data mining to discover the implicit connections between grades,the accuracy of which is limited faced with a variety of nonlinear data.By combining the candidates’ features of short-term and long-term,the key factors that affect the grades of the college entrance examination were fully tapped,and a novel Multiple Features-aware Neural Network (MFNN) model was proposed to achieve the grades of the college entrance examination prediction.To verify the effectiveness of MFNN,the experiments on the real data set provided by Hefei Education Bureau was conducted.The data set included three high school quality test grades and college entrance examination grades of 10138 science and engineering candidates and 4874 literature and history candidates in 2015.Experimental results showed that the proposed method was superior to other comparison methods.

Key words: college entrance examination prediction, data mining, neural network, multiple features

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